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Under-35 Homebuyers: The Future of Mortgage Lending

April 17, 2025
young homebuyers represent $416 B lending opportunity
Author:
Val Buresch, Founder and CEO, Polygon Research
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In today's dynamic mortgage market, staying ahead means understanding the nuances of evolving buyer demographics. For lenders, realtors, and housing analysts, the question isn't just if young people are buying homes, but where, how much, and under what conditions. The latest data signals a compelling trend: the under-35 demographic is making a significant return to the housing market. But raw numbers alone don't paint the full picture. To truly capitalize on this resurgence, you need granular, actionable insights that go beyond surface-level statistics. This is where the power of HMDAVision, enriched with the newly released 2024 HMDA LAR data, comes into sharp focus.

For too long, understanding the under-35 homebuyer has felt like navigating in the dark. You know they’re out there, but pinpointing their exact financial/credit profiles, preferred neighborhoods, and borrowing habits? That’s been the real challenge. Generic market reports offer a bird’s-eye view, but lack the street-level detail needed for strategic precision. Imagine trying to design the perfect loan for this demographic without knowing their median income (or income distribution) or that their median loan amount hovers around $295,000. This data gap leads to wasted marketing dollars, missed opportunities to connect with a burgeoning market segment, and ultimately, a failure to fully capitalize on this demographic shift. The industry needs a tool that doesn’t just show the wave, but lets you ride it with confidence.

Go beyond surface-level analysis with HMDAVision, the powerful platform engineered to transform raw HMDA data into actionable intelligence. With the latest 2024 HMDA Loan Application Register (LAR) data now integrated, you gain an even more granular and timely understanding of the mortgage market. We don't just provide access to millions of records; we equip you with the tools to dissect, filter, and extract the precise insights that drive your strategic decisions. With our infographic, "2024 Signals a Comeback for Buyers Under 35," we illustrate key trends like the 1.22 million loans and $416 billion secured by this demographic.

Infographic with statistics about young home buyers under 35

With HMDAVision you can go even deeper and get a much richer picture. Beyond median income, loan amount, and interest rate, you can analyze critical credit profile elements such as Combined Loan-to-Value (CLTV), Debt-to-Income (DTI) ratios, and credit score distributions within this under-35 segment. This depth of information allows for a far more nuanced understanding of the financial health and borrowing power of these future homeowners. Polygon Research stands alone in providing this level of transparent and comprehensive HMDA data analysis.

But the story doesn't end with national averages. HMDAVision allows you to drill down to the local level, identifying the top markets for young homebuyers. Maricopa, AZ; Cook, IL; and Harris, TX are the counties with the highest activity, while Riverside, CA is experiencing significant growth at 11.2%, followed by King, WA (4.1%) and Clark, NV (2.9%). Consider the following applications of this data:

  • Product strategy: Is your current average or median loan size for originations higher or lower than 295,000? How far above or below this median are you? Utilize HMDAVision to analyze your current ranking and market share within this specific loan segment of borrowers under 35. This allows you to explore how your peers and competitors are positioning themselves and consider potential adjustments to your product offerings, such as more flexible down payment options or revised loan terms.
  • Sales targeting: Whether you're already active in high-growth areas for young homebuyers like Riverside, CA (11.2% growth), King, WA (4.1%), and Clark, NV (2.9%), or considering geographic expansion, use HMDAVision to pinpoint specific neighborhoods and tailor your marketing and outreach tactics to connect with this expanding demographic.
  • Marketing outreach: Marketing teams can use the insights to develop targeted campaigns that resonate with this demographic in top counties like Maricopa, AZ. Emphasize your local understanding of their specific market and showcase your expertise in serving their unique needs. Remember, generic messages will only take you so far; being local, specific, and personalized in your outreach will be key to winning their business.

Transformation through data

HMDAVision empowers a fundamental shift in how you approach the mortgage market. Move beyond simply observing trends as they emerge; leverage the power of comprehensive data to anticipate them. Lenders can now transcend broad assumptions, precisely tailoring loan products to the specific credit profiles of young borrowers entering homeownership. Real estate agencies gain the strategic advantage of expanding their presence in counties experiencing the most significant growth in this key demographic, positioning themselves directly where future buyers are active. Marketing teams can move beyond generic outreach - they can craft campaigns that speak directly to the aspirations and financial realities of first-time homebuyers in high-demand areas, fostering trust and establishing themselves as the experts of choice. With access to over 124 million transactions spanning seven years, enriched by CensusVision's in-depth demographic insights, HMDAVision provides the clarity needed to not just navigate the evolving landscape of homeownership, but to strategically shape your success within it.

The data tells a story, and so does the process of visualizing it. Take a moment to watch this behind-the-scenes video on the creation of our infographic:

Ready to unlock the potential of this dynamic market?

Take the first step now and explore HMDAVision to start uncovering the trends and opportunities that will shape your success.

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