Mortgage Data Explained

Mortgage data needs context

As a Certified Mortgage Banker (CMB) and data scientist, I founded Polygon Research to transform the vast, often impenetrable landscape of U.S. housing finance data into clear, actionable intelligence. We don't just aggregate HMDA and Census data; we apply proprietary AI-driven algorithms to uncover the stories within the numbers, ensuring that lenders have the precision they need to compete, grow, and serve their communities fairly.
Val Buresch, CMB, Founder of Polygon Research

FAQ

Unlocking Non-QM Market Intelligence
How does HMDAVision identify Non-QM loans since there is no "flag" in the raw HMDA data?

Polygon Research uses a proprietary, rules-based algorithm that applies the actual CFPB Ability-to-Repay (ATR) and Qualified Mortgage (QM) logic to every loan record. While some tools simply guess based on the lender's name, we analyze loan-level attributes—like interest rate spreads, DTI ratios, and specific product features—to accurately classify the loan status.

Why is a logic-based algorithm more accurate than tracking "Non-QM Lenders"?

Most lenders labeled as "Non-QM" actually originate a mix of QM and Non-QM products. Relying on a lender list creates "noisy" data. Polygon’s approach looks at the DNA of the individual loan, allowing you to see the true Non-QM volume even at traditional banks that are quietly expanding their portfolio business.

Can I see the specific reason why a loan was categorized as Non-QM?

Yes. Transparency is a core pillar of our data science. Our flag identifies the specific trigger for the Non-QM status—whether it was a pricing threshold (Rate Spread), a prohibited product feature (Interest-Only or Balloon), or a points-and-fees violation. This detail is critical for lenders refining their own product strategy.

How does Polygon Research handle historical regulatory shifts, like the 2022 General QM change?

Our algorithm is dynamic and year-specific. We account for the transition from the old DTI-based General QM rule to the current price-based General QM rule. This ensures that when you benchmark your performance against 2021 or 2022 data, the classifications are compliant with the regulations that were actually in effect at that time.

Does your Non-QM market sizing include loans held in portfolio?

Yes. Unlike reports that only look at the securitization market, Polygon Research analyzes the full universe of over 67 million closed loans in the HMDA microdata. This provides a total view of the market, including the significant volume of Non-QM loans that are held in private portfolios and never reach the secondary market.